Dr.LUKE'S iDLE UTTERANCE

と題するレポートがOxford Research Groupから出ています(→PDF)。イスラエルによるイランへの攻撃が極めて差し迫っており、もしそれが起きるならば、次のような事態が進行します：

The potential for an Israeli military strike on Iran over its nuclear programme has grown sharply, but its consequences would be devastating and would lead to a long war...

• missile attacks on Israel;
• actions to cause a sharp rise in oil prices by closing he Straits of Hormuz;
• paramilitary and/or missile attacks on western Gulf oil production, processing and transportation facilities;
• strong support for paramilitary groups in Iraq and Afghanistan opposing western involvement.

大学や研究施設なども攻撃対象とされ、それは長期にわたる戦闘状態をもたらす。今回は用意したほうがいいような感じもしますね。

一方、イスラエルを捨てたと言われるオバマは、イスラエルに対して史上最大の軍事支援をする模様(→Israel to get mega military handout)。

since Israel is facing some of the toughest challenges in its history, US President Barack Obama administration has asked Congress for nearly $2.775 billion in security assistance funding "specifically for Israel" in 2010.

"It is the largest such request in US history," he added.